For finance leaders, managing cash flow is a strategic imperative. It shows how much cash is being generated by the business, and how a company’s expenses are funded.
Thus, ensuring a positive cash flow and sufficient working capital is critical for your business to thrive in the long run.
To do that, having your key metrics such as runway, burn rate, DSO, DPO, etc. always up to date so you can make proactive decisions to identify trends, streamline cash flow, and adjust growth plans is essential! This requires having the right tools and processes in place to improve your cash flow and forecasting accuracy.
Cash flow forecasting is a tool to measure a company’s liquidity that ensures it has enough cash to meet its immediate obligations and plan for future financial needs. You need to consider all cash inflows and outflows from investing activities, operating activities, and financing activities to come up with accurate projections in the short- and long-term.
Cash is the lifeblood of every business—and I reiterate—it’s more important valuations or revenue growth. Thus, coming up with accurate cash flow forecasts is essential to make changes to your business strategy and operating plans to help extend your runway, ensure a healthy cash position, and even determine the right time to raise a new funding round.
Cash flow forecasting empowers businesses to proactively manage their finances by anticipating future cash inflows and outflows. It helps companies:
There are primarily two methods of cash flow forecasting: direct and indirect. Each method has its use and businesses choose one based on their needs and the level of detail required.
| Direct | Indirect |
---|---|---|
Methodology | Cash flow is projected using actual or estimated cash receipts and disbursements | Starts with net income (from the income statement) and adjusts for non-cash transactions, changes in working capital, and other operational items to estimate cash flow from operations |
Time frame | More accurate in the short-term | Suitable for long-term projections |
Level of detail | Provides a more granular view | Provides a more consolidated view |
Use case | Day-to-day cash management and short-term financial operations | Strategic planning and long-term financial forecasts |
SaaS businesses typically rely on the indirect method. This is because this method offers a straightforward and more streamlined approach since it starts with the net income, linking directly to the P&L statement, and then incorporating adjustments from the balance sheet.
With this method, it is also easier to align and provide visibility to key stakeholders such as board members and investors. They are not interested in scrutinizing line items of a company’s cash flow statements but in getting an understanding of the company’s financial health, and the indirect method provides this information.
Making sense of your cash flow statement and making decisions on top of that is generally hard because it requires you to:
This prevents you and the management from understanding and optimizing your cash flow to make quick strategic decisions that can positively influence your business growth.
Data analytics paired with scenario planning empowers finance leaders to go beyond mere numbers, allowing them to craft a clear and impactful narrative guiding the company toward a successful future.
In case you are looking for a template, especially if you are an FP&A leader for a SaaS company, this cash flow projection Excel template is very reliable and makes it fast and easy to get a granular view of how money moves in your business.
A purpose-built FP&A tool can eliminate several of the pain points I discussed earlier. It’ll not only reduce the amount of time spent on forecasting but also improve the accuracy of your forecasts.
I recently saw Drivetrain , a strategic finance platform, in action and, here is what stood out for me:
The bottom line for finance leaders, advanced cash flow forecasting isn't just a checkbox exercise - it's a game-changer. By proactively managing the financial runway, you can make strategic decisions with confidence and stay ahead of the curve. As we continue to navigate through uncertain times, being prepared with effective financial forecasting can be the difference between merely surviving and thriving.
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